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Impact of Expectation of Quarterly or Annual result of a Stock

There is a question which haunts me as well as other investors What will be QoQ or YoY Result of a Company? I have seen that a lot of time companies have shown growth but share still comes down because result was not as good as expected. Now someone please tell me who is setting the expectation and why? Why cant it be plain numbers? What is the purpose of putting up an expectation on a stock. Is it for to make an investor fool? Once I saw that L n T shows PAT(profit after tax) 12% up on QoQ but the expectation was 19% so share came down to 4%. And a lot of people booked loss on that day. If PAT is increasing, it means company is growing so is your money. Why to bother about expectation? Its just people are being fooled by the television anchors and so called analysts. Don’t bother about expected result. Go for the actual numbers. Then decide yourself. Stay Invested. Buy Right Sit Tight.

BTST

BTST is buy today sell tomorrow. Take any share and look at the last day’s close and today’s open rate. They are not same. BTST works on this rate difference. You buy the share today at closing time (i.e. just before 3:30 pm) sell it on higher rate the next day as soon as market opens(i.e just after 9:15 am). This is pretty effective way to earn money from market because when market is closed no Big shot can play game on the stock as they do in market hours.

Open Interest

Open interest is the total number of futures contracts or option contracts that have not yet been exercised (squared off), expired, or fulfilled by delivery. Price Open Interest Interpretation Rising Rising Stock is Strong Rising Falling Stock is Weakening Falling Rising Stock is Weak Falling Falling Stock is Strengthening

How to Know Market is trapping

Check out the end of the data daily. How many shares have gone up, how many has come down and how many shares have not changed. This will give you a brief idea about market. Suppose market has gone up 2% but only 20% companies has gone up and rest of the companies are either negative or flat (this is when FII’s buying). Normal psychology of market is if market is going up then most of the shares listed in exchange will go up (this is when retailer buys). In September’10 FII’s bought a lot and increased the market to 10% in a month. In October’10 they started selling the stocks but kept buying the index future to keep the retailer invested. And in November’10 they started selling the index future also. Now market has started falling. Till when market will fall nobody knows. FII’s has created the same situation as January’08 and people are so dumb that they have faced the recession recently still then they are not able to understand what big people are doing. GOD BLESS

Arbitrage

It is a fix profit situation. When you do arbitrage you fix your profit irrespective of stock movement. E.g. you have delivery of Stock A. Rate of that stock at NSE is 100 and at BSE is 102. Short sell it on BSE and Buy it on NSE. You have your Stock at got the profit. As soon the rate on both the exchanges gets equal, square off both the positions. (Suppose you square off your position at 95. Profit in short selling INR 7 and loss in Buying INR 5. Net Profit INR 2 . Suppose you square off your position at 105. Loss in short selling INR 3 and profit in Buying INR 5. Net Profit INR 2 .) Arbitrage can have plenty of possibilities. It’s up to you how many possibilities you can think about. I have just mentioned one.

Intraday Margin

Suppose you have INR 100 in your D-mat account, you can buy up to INR 500 for intraday. 5 times intraday margin is standard for every broking firm (it may vary from company to company). (Why 5 times? Because stocks have their circuit breaker at 20% ) When you buy shares for INR 500, INR 400 is paid by the broker. That’s why margin is given only for intraday. It is given for generating more and more brokerage. When you buy a share for 100Rs. Its your share, you can sell it whenever want you want to sell it. When you buy shares for 500Rs, you have to book profit or loss for the same day. That’s how people get loss from the market. And they curse market. Don’t trade on margins. Trade in your limits.

Selling between Exchanges

They say if you have bought share in NSE you cannot sell it on BSE. This is partially true. If you have bought share on NSE you cannot sell that share on BSE on the same day. If you have the delivery you can sell it wherever you want. There is no extra charge for this. So if you are selling the delivery sell on that exchange on which the rate is higher. You will easily get 10-15 paisa difference between NSE and BSE prices.